Torino x Cremonese Betting tips for December 13 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Torino x Cremonese, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 14:00

Torino 1.90

X 3.20

Cremonese 4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Torino x Cremonese:

🔮 Torino wins the match
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Some important points for the tip for Torino x Cremonese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $263.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $700.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Torino scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cremonese, Torino scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Torino matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Torino x Cremonese, with Torino as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Torino conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Torino conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Cremonese.

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Torino vs Cremonese?

⚽ The match between Torino and Cremonese promises to be an interesting duel at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torinos traditional home. Analyzing recent statistics, Torino has shown an average of 2 goals scored at home per game, but also concedes quite a few goals (average of 2). Cremonese has more modest numbers away from home, with an average of 1 goal scored and conceded. Torino has a higher volume of shots (12 per game at home versus 9 for Cremonese), but also faces more shots from opponents (15 versus 20). This suggests the game could be open and with chances for both sides.

📈 In the league table, Torino is in an intermediate position trying to move away from the danger zone, while Cremonese has been showing surprising strength after climbing via playoffs and has even beaten strong teams like Milan. This mutual need for points should make the match highly competitive.

📰 Recent news shows Torino is restructuring its attack with Duvan Zapata as the center forward alongside Giovanni Adams, aiming for a heavy offensive line to improve results after a recent loss to Milan. On the other hand, Cremonese relies on the experience of striker Jamie Vardy and comes energized after an important victory over Lecce. These tactical changes could further balance the teams strengths.

Analyzing the median odds offered by betting houses (1.9 for Torino win; 3.18 for draw; 4.35 for Cremonese win) and normalizing their implied probabilities adjusted for the bookmakers margin, we have approximately: 52% chance for Torino victory, 17% draw, 31% Cremonese victory. Considering the offensive/defensive stats and recent news indicating important tactical adjustments, I believe these probabilities are consistent.

However, our internal model suggests very favorable predicted odds for the home team (Torino) with a high positive expected value (+14%), indicating a good opportunity in this bet given the expected technical superiority due to recent offensive adjustments of the home team against the still vulnerable visiting defense.

Suggestion: Bet on Torino to win, as the statistics show a clear advantage in offensive potential at home combined with recent positive changes in the squad, such as experienced attackers Zapata + Adams, reinforcing this reading.
The calculated expected value is around +14%, indicating a good risk-return ratio for this bet!

Always remember: betting involves risks! Analyze carefully before betting 💰😉

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Torino x Cremonese?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Torino x Cremonese, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Torino x Cremonese for the Italy Serie A – 13 of December

When the best bet on Torino x Cremonese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news on Torino x Cremonese

Torino: Torino, coached by Marco Baroni, is reshaping its attack by positioning Duvan Zapata as the center forward alongside Giovanni Adams, with Baroni emphasizing a “heavy” offensive line for the match against Milan. After the recent home defeat to Milan, President Urbano Cairo highlighted the teams good moments but expressed disappointment over the loss. At the same time, the club dismissed sporting director Davide Vagnati and reinstated Francesco Petrachi as technical director. The latest squad list for the upcoming Serie A match against Cremonese on December 13 shows a 3-5-2 formation with Zapata, Adams, Ivan Ilić, Ardian Ismajli, and Giovanni Simeone among the starters.

Cremonese: Cremonese is competing in Serie A under coach Davide Nicola after securing promotion via the 2024-25 playoffs. The club has already attracted attention by signing former Leicester City striker Jamie Vardy for one year, and by recording a historic 2-1 victory over AC Milan at San Siro, followed by a 3-2 win against Sassuolo that temporarily placed them at the top of the league. Despite a slump resulting in two consecutive losses, they recovered on December 7, 2025, by beating Lecce 2-0 at home — a team in a 3-5-2 scheme with goalkeeper Emil Audero, defenders Terracciano, Baschirotto, and Matteo Bianchetti, midfielders Barbieri, Payero, Bondo, Vandeputte, and Floriani Mussolini, and the attacking duo Federico Bonazzoli and Vardy, both scoring goals.

Table analysis for the match between Torino and Cremonese

Torino: Torino is in 16th place with 14 points, just one point above the relegation zone and with a negative goal difference (-12). The fight to avoid relegation is intense, and every point is crucial to stay in Serie A. This match against Cremonese is very important for Torino because a loss could dangerously bring them closer to the drop zone, while a win could boost their safety in the standings.

Cremonese: Cremonese holds the 9th position with 20 points, in an intermediate qualifying zone, far from both European competition qualification and relegation zone. With a comfortable margin below and not threatened above, the game is not decisive for Cremonese in pursuit of bigger goals, but a victory could improve their position in the table and show good form.

Summary: The match is crucial for Torino in the fight against relegation, while for Cremonese it has moderate importance, mainly to improve their standing. Therefore, the game is very important for one team (Torino) and of medium importance for the other (Cremonese).

Tips for the 1×2 market for Torino x Cremonese

Is betting on Torino worth it?

🔵 Torino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $522.00;
• And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.00.

Is betting on Cremonese worth it?

🔴 Cremonese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $532.80;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Torino x Cremonese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Torino x Cremonese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Torino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Torino.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Cremonese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Torino x Cremonese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.