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Home Β» Predictions Β» Italy Serie A Β» Torino x Parma Betting tips for January 5 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 05 January 2025, 17h00 Italy Serie A
Torino Torino
PREDICTION No tip
Parma Parma
Don't miss this prediction!

Torino x Parma Betting tips for January 5 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Torino x Parma, Sunday, 5/1/2025
πŸ“… 5/1/2025
17:00
Torino Torino
2.00
X
3.40
Parma Parma
3.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Torino x Parma:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Torino x Parma

Important information for your tip for Torino x Parma:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Parma, Torino scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Torino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Parma matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Torino conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Torino x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 5 of January

🏟️ Torino X Parma – Italy Serie A
πŸ“… 5 of January, 2025 – 17:00
πŸ”΅ Torino – Winning probability: 55.52% | Fair line: 1.8
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.52% | Fair line: 4.08
πŸ”΄ Parma – Winning probability: 19.95% | Fair line: 5.01
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Torino x Parma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1242039 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Torino x Parma

Should you bet on Torino?

πŸ”΅ Torino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$120.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$150.00.

Is betting on Parma worth it?

πŸ”΄ Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$240.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Torino x Parma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Torino x Parma

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Torino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Torino.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Torino x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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