Udinese x Como Betting tips for September 1 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Como, Sunday, 1/9/2024

📅 1/9/2024 15:45

Udinese 1.83

X 3.50

Como 4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Udinese x Como:

🔮 Como wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Como, you can win up to $2100.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Udinese x Como: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $207.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Como conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Udinese is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Udinese x Como?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Udinese x Como:

Analysis from Udinese x Como for the Italy Serie A – 1 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Udinese x Como right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1171332 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Udinese x Como

Is it a good idea to bet on Udinese?

🔵 Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – profiting $406.70;
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$103.30 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Should you bet on Como?

🔴 Como: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $960.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Como

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Como

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Udinese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Udinese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Como.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Como

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.