Udinese x Fiorentina Betting tips for March 2 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Fiorentina, Monday, 2/3/2026

📅 2/3/2026 19:45

Udinese 3.00

X 3.28

Fiorentina 2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Udinese x Fiorentina:

🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Important information for your tip for Udinese x Fiorentina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $535.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Fiorentina matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Udinese x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A – 2 of March

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Udinese x Fiorentina

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Udinese x Fiorentina.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Udinese x Fiorentina

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Udinese x Fiorentina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1488452 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Udinese?

🔵 Udinese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $440.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $592.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$147.20.

Is betting on Fiorentina worth it?

🔴 Fiorentina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $676.00;
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$196.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Fiorentina

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Fiorentina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Udinese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Udinese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Fiorentina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Fiorentina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Udinese x Fiorentina