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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Udinese x Genoa Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h30 Italy Serie A
Udinese Udinese
PREDICTION Udinese wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Genoa Genoa
ODD: @1.88 Don't miss this prediction!

Udinese x Genoa Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Genoa, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:30
Udinese Udinese
1.88
X
3.42
Genoa Genoa
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Udinese x Genoa:

🔮 Udinese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Udinese, you can win up to $940.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Udinese x Genoa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $230.0.
👉 In the last 3 Udinese matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Udinese has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Genoa playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Udinese x Genoa for the Italy Serie A – 1 of December

🏟️ Udinese X Genoa – Italy Serie A
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 Udinese – Winning probability: 64.75% | Fair line: 1.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.16% | Fair line: 4.14
🔴 Genoa – Winning probability: 11.09% | Fair line: 9.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Udinese x Genoa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Udinese x Genoa

Is it worth betting on Udinese?

🔵 Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$222.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $580.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$179.20.

Is betting on Genoa worth it?

🔴 Genoa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$538.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Genoa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Genoa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Udinese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Udinese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Genoa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Genoa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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