Udinese x Napoli Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Napoli, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 14:00

Udinese 4.13

X 3.35

Napoli 1.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Udinese x Napoli:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Udinese x Napoli

The main points for the tip for Udinese x Napoli:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Napoli, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Napoli matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Napoli.

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Analysis from Udinese x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 14 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Udinese and Napoli.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452043 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Udinese x Napoli

Is betting on Udinese worth it?

🔵 Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $532.10;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$297.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $634.50;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$95.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Napoli?

🔴 Napoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$83.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Napoli

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Napoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Udinese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Udinese.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.