Udinese x Roma Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 2/2/2026 19:45 |
 Udinese3.90 |
X 3.28 |
Roma  1.95 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Udinese x Roma:
🔮 Udinese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Udinese, you can win up to $1950.00!
The main points for the tip for Udinese x Roma:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-138.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Roma matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Roma has not lost any of them.
🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Udinese vs Roma?
Lets analyze the match between Udinese and Roma at Bluenergy Stadium, Udineses home ground, which has a capacity of about 25,000 fans and offers a cozy environment typical of Italian football.
📈 Positioning analysis: Udinese is in an intermediate position in Serie A standings, with a recent mixed performance: in the last 5 home games, they scored an average of 1 goal per match and also conceded 1 goal per game. Roma, despite recent attacking difficulties due to key injuries (all main forwards unavailable), maintains a similar offensive average away from home (1 goal per game) and has higher ball possession (53% vs 47% for Udinese). This indicates Roma will try to control the game even with offensive absences.
📰 Relevant news: Udinese lost their full-back Alessandro Zanoli to surgery, which could impact their defense. On the other hand, forward Keinan Davis has been standing out quite a bit. Roma faces a serious offensive crisis with five forwards unavailable; Dybala is out for about two weeks after tests ruled out serious injury. The coach is even considering using defenders in attack! This definitely limits the visiting teams offensive options.
Probability analysis:
- Based on median odds, implied normalized probabilities are: Udinese win ~22%, draw ~29%, Roma win ~49%.
- The average goals scored and conceded suggest defensive balance but a slight edge to Roma due to squad quality despite absences.
- Given the current scenario and news about serious absences in Roma, my adjusted estimate would be: Udinese win ~28%, draw ~30%, Roma win ~42%. I see more value in the draw or a surprise favoring Udinese due to visiting offensive issues.
Analysis of fair odds predicted by Bets Kenya:
- The model strongly favors the home team (Udinese) with predicted odds around 3.6 (~27% probability), while the final odds are higher for this option (4.33).
- However, it overestimates the risk of a draw and slightly underestimates the visiting teams chance compared to my adjusted estimates considering recent news.
Expected value (EV) calculation:
- Betting on Udineses win has a high positive EV (+20%), indicating a good opportunity according to the model;
- Draw (-10%) and visiting win (-12%) have negative EVs;
Final suggestion: Despite serious attacking issues for Roma that could balance this tough away game, I believe betting on Udineses victory is a good move with a significant positive expected value 🤑. The team plays at their usual stadium where they tend to be competitive; plus, the visiting absences weigh heavily against them at this delicate moment.
Keep an eye on the final lineups as any unexpected return could change this analysis!
#ValueBet #SerieA #UdineVsRoma ⚽🔥
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Analysis from Udinese x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 2 of February
🏟️ Udinese X Roma – Italy Serie A
📅 2 of February, 2026 – 19:45
🔵 Udinese – Winning probability: 27.71% | Fair line: 3.61
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.98% | Fair line: 3.71
🔴 Roma – Winning probability: 45.30% | Fair line: 2.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Latest news on the match between Udinese and Roma
Udinese: Recent news from Udinese highlight three important events: striker Keinan Davis has gained star status in fantasy, with seven goals and three assists by the end of January, increasing his market value; right-back Alessandro Zanoli needed surgery after tearing his anterior cruciate ligament, remaining out for the rest of the season; and the latest Serie A lineup against Verona featured Okoye in goal, defensive line with Kristensen, Zemura, Solet, and Bertola, midfield formed by Zanoli, Miller, Karlström, and Ekkelenkamp, with Atta playing behind Davis in attack. Additionally, market rumors indicate a possible winter signing of Czech forward Yannick Eduardo, coming from Leipzig, to strengthen the clubs offensive sector.
Roma: Roma is facing a serious attacking crisis before the Europa League match in Athens against Panathinaikos, with the five registered forwards – Vaz, Malen, Dovbyk, Ferguson, and young Arena – unavailable, leading the coach to joke about possibly using defenders Mancini or Ndicka in attack. Striker Paulo Dybala, who was doubtful after an injury in the defeat against Milan in Serie A, underwent an MRI that ruled out serious injury and is expected to be out for about two weeks. The club is also monitoring a potential winter signing of attacking midfielder Ibrahim Sulemana from Atalanta, while defender Kostas Tsimikas has returned to the squad after a long absence.
Table analysis for the match between Udinese and Roma
Udinese: Udinese is in 10th place with 29 points, occupying an intermediate position in the table. The team is not at immediate risk of relegation nor close to European competition spots, even considering the current round. Therefore, this match holds moderate importance for Udinese, as an opportunity to earn points to improve their position and ensure peace of mind for the rest of the season, but without extreme pressure for results.
Roma: Roma is very well positioned in 3rd place with 43 points, fighting for a direct spot in the Champions League. Every point is crucial to maintain this position against close competitors, especially Napoli and Juventus. As such, the game is quite important for Roma, which needs to keep accumulating points to secure qualification for next years main European competition.
Summary: The match is important for Roma, aiming to consolidate their spot in the Champions League, while for Udinese, the game is less decisive, serving more as a comfort in the standings and preparation for the final rounds of Serie A.
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Udinese x Roma
Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Udinese x Roma (1X2, handicap and goals).
📊 The odds for Udinese had a slight Raised of 5.00%: the market opened with odds of @4.0 for Udinese and now the odds are @4.2.
📊 With a variation of 1.56%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.2 for Draw and now the odds are @3.25.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Roma are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @1.95 for Roma and now the odds are @1.95.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.50 for Roma is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.25 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Udinese x Roma
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Udinese and Roma.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1472274 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is betting on Udinese worth it?
🔵 Udinese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $812.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$92.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $615.60
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$114.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Roma?
🔴 Roma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times – profiting $427.50;
- And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$122.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Roma
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Roma
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Udinese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Udinese.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Udinese.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Roma
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Udinese x Roma
Who is the favourite for Udinese x Roma?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Roma, with a win probability of 45.30%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: Udinese x Roma?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Roma has the better chance to win, with a probability of 45.30%. If you choose to back Roma, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Udinese beating Roma today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Udinese would take victory in roughly 28 of them versus Roma.
What are the chances of Roma beating Udinese today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Roma would take victory in roughly 45 of them against Udinese.
Which team should I bet on: Udinese or Roma?
A successful bettor looks for positive expected value opportunities. Based on our analysis, we believe the best bet for this match is: Udinese wins, with a positive expected value of 16.34%. Bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: avoid staking more than 2% of your funds!
How much is Udinese paying today? See what you can win by betting on Udinese x Roma:
The odds for Udinese to beat Roma today are around 3.90. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3900.00 if Udinese wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Roma paying today? See what you can win by betting on Udinese x Roma:
The odds for Roma to beat Udinese today are around 1.95. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1950.00 if Roma wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
