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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Udinese x Roma Betting tips for January 26 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 26 January 2025, 14h00 Italy Serie A
Udinese Udinese
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Roma Roma
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Udinese x Roma Betting tips for January 26 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Roma, Sunday, 26/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 26/1/2025
14:00
Udinese Udinese
3.20
X
3.30
Roma Roma
2.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Udinese x Roma:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

๐Ÿ”ฎ Roma wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $1110.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Udinese x Roma:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Roma, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Roma conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Udinese x Roma?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Udinese x Roma for the Italy Serie A โ€“ 26 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Udinese X Roma โ€“ Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 26 of January, 2025 โ€“ 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Udinese โ€“ Winning probability: 20.90% | Fair line: 4.78
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 32.30% | Fair line: 3.1
๐Ÿ”ด Roma โ€“ Winning probability: 46.80% | Fair line: 2.14
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.75 Udinese
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Udinese x Roma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1251610 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Udinese x Roma

Is betting on Udinese worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Udinese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would lose other 790 times โ€“ having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$328.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times โ€“ profiting $736.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times โ€“ having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$56.00.

Is betting on Roma worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Roma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $573.40
  • And would lose other 530 times โ€“ losing -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$43.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Roma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.75 Udinese
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Udinese x Roma

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Udinese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Udinese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: -0.25 Roma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Roma

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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