Udinese x Sassuolo Betting tips for February 15 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Sassuolo, Sunday, 15/2/2026

📅 15/2/2026 11:30

Udinese 2.37

X 3.00

Sassuolo 3.15

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Udinese x Sassuolo:

🔮 Sassuolo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sassuolo, you can win up to $1575.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Udinese x Sassuolo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $383.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sassuolo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sassuolo, Udinese scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Udinese x Sassuolo, with Udinese as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sassuolo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Udinese conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Sassuolo.
👉 Udinese has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sassuolo playing at home.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Udinese vs Sassuolo?

⚽ The match between Udinese and Sassuolo promises to be balanced, but lets look at the numbers to understand better! The Bluenergy Stadium is Udineses usual stadium, so they play at home, which usually gives an advantage. Analyzing recent statistics, Udinese has a decent home performance with 2 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games at their stadium, scoring an average of 1 goal per game and conceding about 1 goal as well. Sassuolo away has shown some defensive difficulty (an average of nearly 2 goals conceded in recent games), despite maintaining a similar average of goals scored.

📈 In the league table, both teams are close in ranking and need to earn points to improve their positions. This increases motivation to seek positive results in this match.

📰 Regarding news: Udinese will have important absences due to suspension (Karlström and Davis), which could impact their defense and midfield. On the other hand, Sassuolo is on a good streak after breaking a poor run with recent wins against strong teams like Lazio and Fiorentina; however, they also face important suspensions in their starting lineup.

Looking at the median odds offered by betting houses (2.35 for Udinese win, 3 for draw, and 3.2 for Sassuolo win), we have approximate normalized implied probabilities: Udinese win ~43%, draw ~33%, Sassuolo win ~31%. Considering the statistical data — especially Sassuolos slight offensive advantage even away — I would slightly favor a draw or even a small higher chance for the visitor due to Udineses defensive absences.

The Bets Kenya model suggests higher predicted odds for Udinese victory (~3.36), indicating less confidence in them; it also shows a considerable positive expected value on the bet for the visitor (~16.7%), while showing a negative value on the home team bet (-28%). I agree with this view because suspensions weigh against the home team in this balanced game.

Suggested bet: Sassuolo victory with a positive expected value above 15% is an interesting tip here! I would avoid betting on the draw or Udinese victory given their important absences.

Good luck! 🍀

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Analysis from Udinese x Sassuolo for the Italy Serie A – 15 of February

Latest news on the match between Udinese and Sassuolo

Udinese: Udinese, a Serie A club, currently has two of its players—Swedish defender Kristoffer Karlström and midfielder Adam Davis—listed among the suspensions for matchday 25, meaning they will be unavailable for the next league game.

Sassuolo: Sassuolo entered the recent Serie A match against Inter after breaking a seven-game winless streak, beating Pisa and Cremonese, and also coming from home victories over Lazio, Udinese, and Fiorentina; their expected lineup for the game against Inter on February 8, 2026, was a 4-3-3 with Muric in goal, a defensive line of Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, and Doig, a midfield trio of Thorstvedt, Matic, and Koné, and an attack with Berardi, Pinamonti, and Laurienté, with Zaniolo expected to return as a starter after two appearances off the bench and Bayo out injured. Walukiewicz, Doig, Muharemovic, and Muric were among the clubs suspended players for the next round.

Table analysis for the match between Udinese and Sassuolo

Udinese: Udinese is in a comfortable position on the table, holding 9th place with 32 points. A victory in this game could help the team improve its mid-table position, but it is not decisive for fighting for a spot in European competitions, which are currently out of reach. Therefore, the match has moderate importance, mainly to maintain or climb a few positions.

Sassuolo: Sassuolo is closer to the relegation zone, in 11th place with 29 points, just 3 points behind Udinese. This confrontation is important for the team to try to surpass its direct rival and distance itself from the lower positions on the table, avoiding risks and seeking a better placement. For Sassuolo, this is an important game to ensure safety for the season and improve the standings.

Summary: The game is more important for Sassuolo, which aims to climb the table and move away from danger, while for Udinese it is an opportunity to improve their position, but not a decisive duel for international competition spots or risk of relegation. ⚽

Odds and handicap movements for Udinese x Sassuolo

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Udinese x Sassuolo.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Udinese x Sassuolo

When the best bet on Udinese x Sassuolo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1479792 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it worth betting on Udinese?

🔵 Udinese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $424.70;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$265.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$20.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sassuolo?

🔴 Sassuolo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $752.50;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$102.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Sassuolo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Sassuolo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Udinese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Udinese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sassuolo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Sassuolo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Udinese x Sassuolo