Venezia x Atalanta Betting tips for October 20 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 20/10/2024 13:00 |
 Venezia5.28 |
X 3.90 |
Atalanta  1.62 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Venezia x Atalanta:
🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $810.00!
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The main points for the tip for Venezia x Atalanta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-128.0. |
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Analysis from Venezia x Atalanta for the Italy Serie A – 20 of October
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🏟️ Venezia X Atalanta – Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Venezia x Atalanta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1204480 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Venezia x Atalanta
Should you bet on Venezia?
🔵 Venezia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $256.80;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$683.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Is betting on Atalanta worth it?
🔴 Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 73.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 730 times – profiting $452.60;
- And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$182.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Venezia x Atalanta
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venezia x Atalanta
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Venezia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Venezia.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Venezia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezia x Atalanta
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
