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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Venezia x Parma Betting tips for November 9 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie A
Venezia Venezia
PREDICTION Venezia wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Parma Parma
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Venezia x Parma Betting tips for November 9 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Venezia x Parma, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
14:00
Venezia Venezia
2.55
X
3.43
Parma Parma
2.63

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Venezia x Parma:

🔮 Venezia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Venezia, you can win up to $1275.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Venezia x Parma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Playing as the home team, Venezia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Parma.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Parma has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Venezia x Parma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Venezia x Parma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Venezia x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 9 of November

🏟️ Venezia X Parma – Italy Serie A
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Venezia – Winning probability: 51.40% | Fair line: 1.95
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.99% | Fair line: 4.35
🔴 Parma – Winning probability: 25.61% | Fair line: 3.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Venezia x Parma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Venezia x Parma

Should you bet on Venezia?

🔵 Venezia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $790.50
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$300.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $558.90
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$211.10.

Is betting on Parma worth it?

🔴 Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $423.80
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$316.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Venezia x Parma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venezia x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Venezia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Venezia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Venezia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezia x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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