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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Venezia x Verona Betting tips for January 27 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 27 January 2025, 17h30 Italy Serie A
Venezia Venezia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Verona Verona
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Venezia x Verona Betting tips for January 27 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Venezia x Verona, Monday, 27/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 27/1/2025
17:30
Venezia Venezia
2.16
X
3.40
Verona Verona
3.26

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Venezia x Verona:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Venezia x Verona:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Venezia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $650.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Venezia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Venezia x Verona?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Venezia x Verona:

Analysis from Venezia x Verona for the Italy Serie A โ€“ 27 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Venezia X Verona โ€“ Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 27 of January, 2025 โ€“ 17:30
๐Ÿ”ต Venezia โ€“ Winning probability: 41.25% | Fair line: 2.42
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 33.68% | Fair line: 2.97
๐Ÿ”ด Verona โ€“ Winning probability: 25.07% | Fair line: 3.99
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.25 Venezia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Venezia x Verona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1251998 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Venezia x Verona

Should you bet on Venezia?

๐Ÿ”ต Venezia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times โ€“ having a profit of $475.60;
  • And would lose other 590 times โ€“ having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$114.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times โ€“ profiting $816.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times โ€“ with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$156.00.

Is betting on Verona worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times โ€“ having a profit of $565.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times โ€“ with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$185.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Venezia x Verona

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.25 Venezia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Venezia x Verona

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Venezia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Venezia.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1ร—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezia x Verona

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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