Verona x AC Milan Betting tips for December 20 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Verona x AC Milan, Friday, 20/12/2024

📅 20/12/2024 19:45

Verona 5.18

X 4.18

AC Milan 1.59

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Verona x AC Milan:

🔮 AC Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $795.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Verona x AC Milan: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $432.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AC Milan scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against AC Milan, Verona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Verona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 AC Milan matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Verona x AC Milan, with Verona as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, AC Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against AC Milan. 👉 Even as a visitor, AC Milan won the last 5 head-to-head matches Verona´s territory

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Verona x AC Milan?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Verona x AC Milan, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Verona x AC Milan for the Italy Serie A – 20 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Verona and AC Milan.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238712 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Verona x AC Milan

Should you bet on Verona?

🔵 Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $543.40
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$326.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $413.40
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on AC Milan?

🔴 AC Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 750 times – profiting $442.50;
• And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$192.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Verona x AC Milan

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Verona x AC Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Verona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Verona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Verona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Verona x AC Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.