Verona x Lazio Betting tips for January 11 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 11/1/2026 17:00 |
 Verona3.40 |
X 3.05 |
Lazio  2.25 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Verona x Lazio:
🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $1125.00!
The main points for the tip for Verona x Lazio:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 In the last 6 Lazio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Verona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lazio.
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Analysis from Verona x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 11 of January
🏟️ Verona X Lazio – Italy Serie A
📅 11 of January, 2026 – 17:00
🔵 Verona – Winning probability: 20.13% | Fair line: 4.97
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.51% | Fair line: 3.39
🔴 Lazio – Winning probability: 50.36% | Fair line: 1.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks
Tips for the 1×2 market for Verona x Lazio
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Verona x Lazio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1460537 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Should you bet on Verona?
🔵 Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$320.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $615.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$85.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lazio?
🔴 Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $625.00;
- And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$125.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Verona x Lazio
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Verona x Lazio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Verona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Verona.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lazio.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Verona x Lazio
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
