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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Verona x Parma Betting tips for March 31 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 31 March 2025, 16h30 Italy Serie A
Verona Verona
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Parma Parma
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Verona x Parma Betting tips for March 31 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Verona x Parma, Monday, 31/3/2025
📅 31/3/2025
16:30
Verona Verona
2.30
X
3.20
Parma Parma
3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Verona x Parma:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

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Important information for your tip for Verona x Parma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Parma, Verona scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Verona x Parma, with Verona as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Parma.
👉 Verona has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Parma.

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Summary

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Analysis from Verona x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 31 of March

🏟️ Verona X Parma – Italy Serie A
📅 31 of March, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Verona – Winning probability: 36.57% | Fair line: 2.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.49% | Fair line: 2.67
🔴 Parma – Winning probability: 25.94% | Fair line: 3.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Verona and Parma.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1291940 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Verona x Parma

Is betting on Verona worth it?

🔵 Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $481.00;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $814.00
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$184.00.

Is betting on Parma worth it?

🔴 Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$194.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Verona x Parma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Verona x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Verona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Verona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Parma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Verona x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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