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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Verona x Torino Betting tips for January 4 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 04 January 2026, 17h00 Italy Serie A
Verona Verona
PREDICTION Torino Wins Probability 39% 1 X 2
Torino Torino
ODD: @2.85
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Verona x Torino Betting tips for January 4 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Verona x Torino, Sunday, 4/1/2026
📅 4/1/2026
17:00
Verona Verona
2.60
X
3.00
Torino Torino
2.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Verona x Torino:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

🔮 Torino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Torino, you can win up to $1425.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Verona x Torino:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Verona scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Verona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Torino.
👉 Even as a visitor, Torino won the last 4 head-to-head matches Verona´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Verona x Torino for the Italy Serie A – 4 of January

🏟️ Verona X Torino – Italy Serie A
📅 4 of January, 2026 – 17:00
🔵 Verona – Winning probability: 24.38% | Fair line: 4.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.63% | Fair line: 2.81
🔴 Torino – Winning probability: 39.99% | Fair line: 2.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Latest news on Verona x Torino

Hellas Verona: Hellas Verona started the new year with a 3-0 defeat to Milan at San Siro on December 28, 2025. The visitors opened the scoring early and added two more goals before halftime, while Veronas initial momentum this season—boosted by wins over Atalanta and Fiorentina—stagnated; the team will try to bounce back when they host Torino on Sunday, January 4, 2026, at 18:00. Coach Francesco Zanetti is likely to field a 3-5-2 formation, keeping Montipò in goal, with a defensive line of Nuñez, Nelsson, and Bella-Kotchap, and a midfield anchored by Niasse, Al-Musrati, and Bernede. Giovane and Mosquera started against Milan but were substituted by Orban and Sarr. Squad availability remains mixed, with Lamptey returning after the 27th, Sabiri, Fazzini, Mari, and Richardson still under assessment, Collocolo expected back after the 19th, and Mandragora, Barbieri, and Pezzella as doubts. Others like Siegrist, Messias, and Onana are also awaiting physical evaluations.

Torino: Torino finished 2025 with a 2-1 home defeat to Cagliari on December 27. They conceded early before Semih Kılıçsoy scored the winning goal. Despite the loss, midfielder Nikola Vlasic maintained his impressive streak, adding another goal, with an average rating of 7.4 and a valuation of 54 credits. Coach Baroni emphasized the need for a quicker recovery in his post-match press conference. President Urbano Cairo later urged the squad to regain pride and responsibility for the New Year. Upcoming matches include a trip to Verona on January 4 and a home game against Udinese on January 7, with a projected 3-5-2 formation under Baroni, including starters like Vlasic, Gabriele Gineitis, and the return of Frese. The attacking line remains uncertain with doubts about Mosquera, Orban, and Ze Pedro, while Adams is highlighted as a key offensive option to restore finishing efficiency.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Verona x Torino

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Verona x Torino right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1457948 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it a good idea to bet on Verona?

🔵 Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $384.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$376.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$80.00.

Is it worth betting on Torino?

🔴 Torino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $740.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$140.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Verona x Torino

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Verona x Torino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Verona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Verona.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Torino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Verona x Torino

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves