Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for January 11 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 13:00

Gor Mahia 2.17

X 3.00

Sofapaka FC 3.27

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC

Important information for your tip for Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $294.0. 👉 Gor Mahia did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC, with Gor Mahia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Sofapaka FC has not lost any of them. 👉 Gor Mahia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sofapaka FC playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC:

Analysis from Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC for the Kenya Premier League – 11 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244129 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Gor Mahia?

🔵 Gor Mahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $643.50
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$193.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it worth betting on Sofapaka FC?

🔴 Sofapaka FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $408.60
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$411.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Gor Mahia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Gor Mahia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gor Mahia x Sofapaka FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.