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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » KCB x AFC Leopards Betting tips for January 10 in Kenya Premier League
Friday, 10 January 2025, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
KCB KCB
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

KCB x AFC Leopards Betting tips for January 10 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for KCB x AFC Leopards, Friday, 10/1/2025
📅 10/1/2025
13:00
KCB KCB
2.29
X
3.10
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
2.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for KCB x AFC Leopards:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for KCB x AFC Leopards:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KCB in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $158.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Leopards in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AFC Leopards scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between KCB x AFC Leopards, with KCB as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AFC Leopards conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from KCB x AFC Leopards for the Kenya Premier League – 10 of January

🏟️ KCB X AFC Leopards – Kenya Premier League
📅 10 of January, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 KCB – Winning probability: 39.09% | Fair line: 2.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.73% | Fair line: 2.88
🔴 AFC Leopards – Winning probability: 26.18% | Fair line: 3.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between KCB and AFC Leopards.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244129 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KCB x AFC Leopards

Is betting on KCB worth it?

🔵 KCB: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $503.10
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$106.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $735.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$85.00.

Is betting on AFC Leopards worth it?

🔴 AFC Leopards: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $507.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$233.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KCB x AFC Leopards

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KCB x AFC Leopards

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 KCB, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 KCB.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 AFC Leopards.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KCB x AFC Leopards

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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