Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for August 31 in Spain Primera Liga
| 📅 31/8/2024 14:00 |
 Athletic Bilbao2.80 |
X 3.25 |
Atletico Madrid  2.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid:
🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $1250.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $204.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid for the Spain Primera Liga – 31 of August
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🏟️ Athletic Bilbao X Atletico Madrid – Spain Primera Liga |
When the best bet on Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1170907 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid
Is betting on Athletic Bilbao worth it?
🔵 Athletic Bilbao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $468.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $562.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$187.50.
Should you bet on Atletico Madrid?
🔴 Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $735.00
- And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$225.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Athletic Bilbao, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Athletic Bilbao.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Atletico Madrid.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Atletico Madrid
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
