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Home ยป Predictions ยป La Liga ยป Atletico Madrid x Mallorca Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Primera Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Primera Liga
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
PREDICTION Atletico Madrid wins Probability 2% 1 X 2
Mallorca Mallorca
ODD: @1.42 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Madrid x Mallorca Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
20:00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1.42
X
4.47
Mallorca Mallorca
8.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Atletico Madrid wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $710.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $279.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mallorca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-397.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Mallorca, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Atletico Madrid matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Madrid x Mallorca, with Atletico Madrid as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Atletico Madrid is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Atletico Madrid x Mallorca?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Madrid x Mallorca, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Mallorca for the Spain Primera Liga – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atletico Madrid X Mallorca – Spain Primera Liga
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 85.48% | Fair line: 1.17
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.76% | Fair line: 8.5
๐Ÿ”ด Mallorca – Winning probability: 2.76% | Fair line: 36.23
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca

Should you bet on Atletico Madrid?

๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $357.00;
  • And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$207.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $416.40;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$463.60.

Is betting on Mallorca worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Mallorca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $216.60
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$753.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Mallorca

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Atletico Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Atletico Madrid.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Atletico Madrid.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves