Atletico Madrid x Mallorca Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Primera Liga
📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca
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Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Mallorca for the Spain Primera Liga – 25 of November
🏟️ Atletico Madrid X Mallorca – Spain Primera Liga
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca
Should you bet on Atletico Madrid?
🔵 Atletico Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $357.00;
- And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$207.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $416.40;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$463.60.
Is betting on Mallorca worth it?
🔴 Mallorca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $216.60
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$753.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Mallorca
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Atletico Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Atletico Madrid.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Atletico Madrid.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Mallorca
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.