Barcelona x Valencia Betting tips for April 29 in Spain Primera Liga
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29/4/2024 19:00 |
 Barcelona1.36 |
X 5.00 |
Valencia  8.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Barcelona x Valencia:
๐ฎ Barcelona wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $680.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Barcelona x Valencia: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $93.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Barcelona x Valencia?
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Analysis from Barcelona x Valencia for the Spain Primera Liga – 29 of April
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๐๏ธ Barcelona X Valencia – Spain Primera Liga |
When the best bet on Barcelona x Valencia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1108288 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Barcelona x Valencia
Is betting on Barcelona worth it?
๐ต Barcelona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $320.40
- And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$210.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$550.00.
Is it worth betting on Valencia?
๐ด Valencia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $140.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$840.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona x Valencia
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Barcelona
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona x Valencia
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Barcelona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Barcelona.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Valencia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona x Valencia
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
