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Home ยป Predictions ยป La Liga ยป CD Alaves x Granada Betting tips for November 24 in Spain Primera Liga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Primera Liga
CD Alaves CD Alaves
PREDICTION CD Alaves wins Probability 14% 1 X 2
Granada Granada
ODD: @1.82 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

CD Alaves x Granada Betting tips for November 24 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for CD Alaves x Granada, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
20:00
CD Alaves CD Alaves
1.82
X
3.50
Granada Granada
4.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Alaves x Granada:

๐Ÿ”ฎ CD Alaves wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Alaves, you can win up to $910.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for CD Alaves x Granada:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Granada in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Granada did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Granada, CD Alaves scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 CD Alaves matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Granada conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, CD Alaves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Granada.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Granada as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CD Alaves x Granada

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Alaves x Granada?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Alaves x Granada, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Alaves x Granada for the Spain Primera Liga – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ CD Alaves X Granada – Spain Primera Liga
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต CD Alaves – Winning probability: 63.72% | Fair line: 1.57
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.59% | Fair line: 4.63
๐Ÿ”ด Granada – Winning probability: 14.69% | Fair line: 6.81
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Alaves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Alaves and Granada.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Granada

Should you bet on CD Alaves?

๐Ÿ”ต CD Alaves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $524.80
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$164.80.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$230.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Granada?

๐Ÿ”ด Granada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $499.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$350.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Alaves x Granada

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Alaves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Granada

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CD Alaves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CD Alaves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Granada.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Alaves x Granada

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves