CD Alaves x Las Palmas Betting tips for September 1 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for CD Alaves x Las Palmas, Sunday, 1/9/2024

📅 1/9/2024 12:00

CD Alaves 1.85

X 3.40

Las Palmas 4.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Alaves x Las Palmas:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Alaves x Las Palmas

Important information for your tip for CD Alaves x Las Palmas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Las Palmas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between CD Alaves x Las Palmas, with CD Alaves as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from CD Alaves x Las Palmas for the Spain Primera Liga – 1 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Alaves x Las Palmas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1171332 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Las Palmas

Should you bet on CD Alaves?

🔵 CD Alaves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $467.50;
• And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$17.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Is it worth betting on Las Palmas?

🔴 Las Palmas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $612.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Alaves x Las Palmas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Alaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Las Palmas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 CD Alaves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CD Alaves. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Alaves x Las Palmas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.