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Home ยป Predictions ยป La Liga ยป Celta Vigo x Valencia Betting tips for May 26 in Spain Primera Liga
Sunday, 26 May 2024, 14h15 Spain Primera Liga
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
PREDICTION Valencia Wins Probability 27% 1 X 2
Valencia Valencia
ODD: @4 Don't miss this prediction!

Celta Vigo x Valencia Betting tips for May 26 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Celta Vigo x Valencia, Sunday, 26/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 26/5/2024
14:15
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
1.87
X
3.60
Valencia Valencia
4.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Celta Vigo x Valencia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Valencia wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valencia, you can win up to $2000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Celta Vigo x Valencia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Celta Vigo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $339.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Celta Vigo scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Valencia, Celta Vigo scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Celta Vigo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Celta Vigo x Valencia, with Celta Vigo as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Celta Vigo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Celta Vigo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Valencia.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Celta Vigo is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Celta Vigo x Valencia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Celta Vigo x Valencia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Celta Vigo x Valencia for the Spain Primera Liga – 26 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Celta Vigo X Valencia – Spain Primera Liga
๐Ÿ“… 26 of May, 2024 – 14:15
๐Ÿ”ต Celta Vigo – Winning probability: 51.28% | Fair line: 1.95
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.66% | Fair line: 4.62
๐Ÿ”ด Valencia – Winning probability: 27.06% | Fair line: 3.7
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Celta Vigo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Celta Vigo x Valencia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1125151 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Celta Vigo x Valencia

Should you bet on Celta Vigo?

๐Ÿ”ต Celta Vigo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $443.70
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$46.30.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $572.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$208.00.

Should you bet on Valencia?

๐Ÿ”ด Valencia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $810.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$80.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Celta Vigo x Valencia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Celta Vigo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Celta Vigo x Valencia

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Celta Vigo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Celta Vigo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Celta Vigo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Celta Vigo x Valencia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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