Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for August 31 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano, Saturday, 31/8/2024

📅 31/8/2024 14:15

Espanyol 2.46

X 3.05

Rayo Vallecano 3.01

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano:

🔮 Espanyol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Espanyol, you can win up to $1230.00!

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The main points for the tip for Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Espanyol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $525.0. 👉 In the last 6 Espanyol matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano, with Espanyol as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Espanyol conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Rayo Vallecano. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Rayo Vallecano has not lost any of them. 👉 Even as a visitor, Rayo Vallecano won the last 4 head-to-head matches Espanyol´s territory

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Analysis from Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano for the Spain Primera Liga – 31 of August

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Espanyol and Rayo Vallecano.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1170907 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano

Is it a good idea to bet on Espanyol?

🔵 Espanyol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $642.40
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$82.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $533.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$207.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rayo Vallecano?

🔴 Rayo Vallecano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $603.00
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$97.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Espanyol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Espanyol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Espanyol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Rayo Vallecano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Espanyol x Rayo Vallecano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.