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Home ยป Predictions ยป La Liga ยป Getafe x Real Sociedad Betting tips for September 1 in Spain Primera Liga
Sunday, 01 September 2024, 14h15 Spain Primera Liga
Getafe Getafe
PREDICTION Real Sociedad Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
ODD: @2.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Getafe x Real Sociedad Betting tips for September 1 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Getafe x Real Sociedad, Sunday, 1/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/9/2024
14:15
Getafe Getafe
3.36
X
2.90
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
2.36

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Getafe x Real Sociedad:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Real Sociedad wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Sociedad, you can win up to $1180.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Getafe x Real Sociedad:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Getafe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Real Sociedad, Getafe scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 Real Sociedad matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Getafe conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Real Sociedad.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Getafe has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Real Sociedad playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Getafe x Real Sociedad?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Getafe x Real Sociedad, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Getafe x Real Sociedad for the Spain Primera Liga – 1 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Getafe X Real Sociedad – Spain Primera Liga
๐Ÿ“… 1 of September, 2024 – 14:15
๐Ÿ”ต Getafe – Winning probability: 19.42% | Fair line: 5.15
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.24% | Fair line: 3.42
๐Ÿ”ด Real Sociedad – Winning probability: 51.34% | Fair line: 1.95
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Getafe
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Getafe x Real Sociedad is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1171332 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Getafe x Real Sociedad

Should you bet on Getafe?

๐Ÿ”ต Getafe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $448.40;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$361.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $551.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$159.00.

Is it worth betting on Real Sociedad?

๐Ÿ”ด Real Sociedad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $693.60;
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$203.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Getafe x Real Sociedad

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Getafe
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Getafe x Real Sociedad

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Getafe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Getafe.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Real Sociedad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Getafe x Real Sociedad

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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