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Home » Predictions » La Liga » Las Palmas x CD Alaves Betting tips for May 26 in Spain Primera Liga
Sunday, 26 May 2024, 14h15 Spain Primera Liga
Las Palmas Las Palmas
PREDICTION Las Palmas wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
CD Alaves CD Alaves
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Las Palmas x CD Alaves Betting tips for May 26 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Las Palmas x CD Alaves, Sunday, 26/5/2024
📅 26/5/2024
14:15
Las Palmas Las Palmas
2.40
X
3.28
CD Alaves CD Alaves
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Las Palmas x CD Alaves:

🔮 Las Palmas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Las Palmas, you can win up to $1200.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Las Palmas x CD Alaves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Las Palmas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Las Palmas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Las Palmas x CD Alaves for the Spain Primera Liga – 26 of May

🏟️ Las Palmas X CD Alaves – Spain Primera Liga
📅 26 of May, 2024 – 14:15
🔵 Las Palmas – Winning probability: 48.06% | Fair line: 2.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.76% | Fair line: 4.04
🔴 CD Alaves – Winning probability: 27.18% | Fair line: 3.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Las Palmas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Las Palmas x CD Alaves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1125151 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Las Palmas x CD Alaves

Is it worth betting on Las Palmas?

🔵 Las Palmas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$180.00.

Is betting on CD Alaves worth it?

🔴 CD Alaves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $513.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Las Palmas x CD Alaves

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Las Palmas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Las Palmas x CD Alaves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Las Palmas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Las Palmas.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Las Palmas x CD Alaves

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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