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Home » Predictions » La Liga » Osasuna x Celta Vigo Betting tips for September 1 in Spain Primera Liga
Sunday, 01 September 2024, 12h00 Spain Primera Liga
Osasuna Osasuna
PREDICTION Celta Vigo Wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Osasuna x Celta Vigo Betting tips for September 1 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Osasuna x Celta Vigo, Sunday, 1/9/2024
📅 1/9/2024
12:00
Osasuna Osasuna
2.25
X
3.22
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Osasuna x Celta Vigo:

🔮 Celta Vigo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Celta Vigo, you can win up to $1650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Osasuna x Celta Vigo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Osasuna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Vigo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-76.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Osasuna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Celta Vigo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Celta Vigo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Celta Vigo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Osasuna x Celta Vigo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Osasuna x Celta Vigo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Osasuna x Celta Vigo for the Spain Primera Liga – 1 of September

🏟️ Osasuna X Celta Vigo – Spain Primera Liga
📅 1 of September, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Osasuna – Winning probability: 35.79% | Fair line: 2.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.90% | Fair line: 3.72
🔴 Celta Vigo – Winning probability: 37.30% | Fair line: 2.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Osasuna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Osasuna and Celta Vigo.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1171332 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Osasuna x Celta Vigo

Is it a good idea to bet on Osasuna?

🔵 Osasuna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $599.40;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Celta Vigo?

🔴 Celta Vigo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $851.00;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$221.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Osasuna x Celta Vigo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Osasuna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Osasuna x Celta Vigo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Osasuna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Osasuna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Celta Vigo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Osasuna x Celta Vigo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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