Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Primera Liga
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25/11/2023 13:00 |
 Rayo Vallecano4.75 |
X 4.00 |
Barcelona  1.67 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona:
๐ฎ Rayo Vallecano wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rayo Vallecano, you can win up to $2375.00!
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Important information for your tip for Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. |
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona:
Analysis from Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona for the Spain Primera Liga – 25 of November
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๐๏ธ Rayo Vallecano X Barcelona – Spain Primera Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona
Is it a good idea to bet on Rayo Vallecano?
๐ต Rayo Vallecano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $2212.50;
- And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$1802.50.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $210.00;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$720.00.
Is it worth betting on Barcelona?
๐ด Barcelona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $227.80;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$432.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Rayo Vallecano
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Rayo Vallecano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Rayo Vallecano.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Rayo Vallecano.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rayo Vallecano x Barcelona
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
