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Home » Predictions » La Liga » Sevilla x Girona Betting tips for September 1 in Spain Primera Liga
Sunday, 01 September 2024, 14h00 Spain Primera Liga
Sevilla Sevilla
PREDICTION Sevilla wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Girona Girona
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Sevilla x Girona Betting tips for September 1 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Sevilla x Girona, Sunday, 1/9/2024
📅 1/9/2024
14:00
Sevilla Sevilla
2.40
X
3.70
Girona Girona
2.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sevilla x Girona:

🔮 Sevilla wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sevilla, you can win up to $1200.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Sevilla x Girona:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sevilla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-193.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sevilla scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Girona conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Sevilla x Girona for the Spain Primera Liga – 1 of September

🏟️ Sevilla X Girona – Spain Primera Liga
📅 1 of September, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Sevilla – Winning probability: 47.91% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.65% | Fair line: 3.9
🔴 Girona – Winning probability: 26.44% | Fair line: 3.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sevilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sevilla x Girona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1171332 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sevilla x Girona

Is it worth betting on Sevilla?

🔵 Sevilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$152.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $702.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$38.00.

Should you bet on Girona?

🔴 Girona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $442.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sevilla x Girona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sevilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sevilla x Girona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sevilla, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sevilla.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Girona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sevilla x Girona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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