Valencia x Celta Vigo Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Primera Liga
📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Valencia x Celta Vigo
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Analysis from Valencia x Celta Vigo for the Spain Primera Liga – 25 of November
🏟️ Valencia X Celta Vigo – Spain Primera Liga
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Valencia x Celta Vigo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Valencia x Celta Vigo
Is it worth betting on Valencia?
🔵 Valencia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $592.80;
- And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$162.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $706.80;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$16.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on Celta Vigo?
🔴 Celta Vigo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $309.60;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$570.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Valencia x Celta Vigo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Valencia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valencia x Celta Vigo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Valencia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Valencia.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valencia x Celta Vigo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.