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Home » Predictions » Others » Buriram United x BG Pathum United Betting tips for April 12 in Thailand Premier League
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 12h00 Thailand Premier League
Buriram United Buriram United
PREDICTION Buriram United wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
BG Pathum United BG Pathum United
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Buriram United x BG Pathum United Betting tips for April 12 in Thailand Premier League

Our betting tip for Buriram United x BG Pathum United, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
12:00
Buriram United Buriram United
1.30
X
5.13
BG Pathum United BG Pathum United
6.62

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Buriram United x BG Pathum United:

🔮 Buriram United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Buriram United, you can win up to $650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Buriram United x BG Pathum United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Buriram United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-21.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on BG Pathum United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-46.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Buriram United scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, BG Pathum United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Buriram United matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Buriram United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, BG Pathum United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Buriram United is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Buriram United has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against BG Pathum United playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Buriram United x BG Pathum United?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Buriram United x BG Pathum United:

Analysis from Buriram United x BG Pathum United for the Thailand Premier League – 12 of April

🏟️ Buriram United X BG Pathum United – Thailand Premier League
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Buriram United – Winning probability: 88.66% | Fair line: 1.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.84% | Fair line: 14.63
🔴 BG Pathum United – Winning probability: 4.50% | Fair line: 22.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Buriram United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Buriram United x BG Pathum United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301346 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Buriram United x BG Pathum United

Is it worth betting on Buriram United?

🔵 Buriram United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $267.00
  • And would have lost other 110 times – with a loss of -$110.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$157.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $289.10
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on BG Pathum United?

🔴 BG Pathum United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $281.00
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$669.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Buriram United x BG Pathum United

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Buriram United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Buriram United x BG Pathum United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Buriram United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Buriram United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Buriram United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Buriram United x BG Pathum United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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