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Home » Predictions » Others » Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20 Betting tips for January 7 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Tuesday, 07 January 2025, 22h15 Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Capivariano U20 Capivariano U20
PREDICTION Capivariano U20 wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Sergipe U20 Sergipe U20
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20 Betting tips for January 7 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20, Tuesday, 7/1/2025
📅 7/1/2025
22:15
Capivariano U20 Capivariano U20
2.05
X
3.38
Sergipe U20 Sergipe U20
3.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20:

🔮 Capivariano U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Capivariano U20, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Capivariano U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $122.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sergipe U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Capivariano U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 7 of January

🏟️ Capivariano U20 X Sergipe U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
📅 7 of January, 2025 – 22:15
🔵 Capivariano U20 – Winning probability: 69.24% | Fair line: 1.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.38% | Fair line: 6.5
🔴 Sergipe U20 – Winning probability: 15.39% | Fair line: 6.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Capivariano U20
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243702 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20

Is betting on Capivariano U20 worth it?

🔵 Capivariano U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $724.50;
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$414.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $357.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$493.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sergipe U20?

🔴 Sergipe U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $307.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$542.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Capivariano U20
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Capivariano U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Capivariano U20.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Capivariano U20 x Sergipe U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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