Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football Betting tips for April 6 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 20:30

Cerro Largo 4.70

X 3.65

Nacional De Football 1.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football

Important information for your tip for Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro Largo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-56.0. 👉 In the last 3 Cerro Largo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Cerro Largo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Nacional De Football.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football for the Uruguay Apertura – 6 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cerro Largo and Nacional De Football.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1297032 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football

Is betting on Cerro Largo worth it?

🔵 Cerro Largo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $888.00
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$128.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $609.50;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Nacional De Football?

🔴 Nacional De Football: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $333.90
• And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$136.10, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Cerro Largo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Cerro Largo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Cerro Largo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Cerro Largo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Largo x Nacional De Football

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.