Cosenza x Salernitana Betting tips for November 3 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Cosenza x Salernitana, Sunday, 3/11/2024

📅 3/11/2024 14:00

Cosenza 2.33

X 3.20

Salernitana 3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cosenza x Salernitana:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Cosenza x Salernitana: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cosenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Salernitana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Salernitana scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Cosenza matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Cosenza x Salernitana, with Cosenza as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cosenza conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cosenza x Salernitana?

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Analysis from Cosenza x Salernitana for the Italy Serie B – 3 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cosenza and Salernitana.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213279 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cosenza x Salernitana

Is betting on Cosenza worth it?

🔵 Cosenza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $505.40;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$114.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $770.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is betting on Salernitana worth it?

🔴 Salernitana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $540.00;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cosenza x Salernitana

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cosenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cosenza x Salernitana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cosenza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cosenza. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cosenza x Salernitana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.