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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen Betting tips for April 6 in Lithuania A Lyga
Sunday, 06 April 2025, 13h00 Lithuania A Lyga
FK Dziugas Telsiai FK Dziugas Telsiai
PREDICTION No tip
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
Don't miss this prediction!

FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen Betting tips for April 6 in Lithuania A Lyga

Our betting tip for FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen, Sunday, 6/4/2025
πŸ“… 6/4/2025
13:00
FK Dziugas Telsiai FK Dziugas Telsiai
3.34
X
3.54
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
1.88

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen

Important information for your tip for FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Dziugas Telsiai in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $33.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hegelmann Litauen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen for the Lithuania A Lyga – 6 of April

🏟️ FK Dziugas Telsiai X Hegelmann Litauen – Lithuania A Lyga
πŸ“… 6 of April, 2025 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ FK Dziugas Telsiai – Winning probability: 15.28% | Fair line: 6.54
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.05% | Fair line: 4.34
πŸ”΄ Hegelmann Litauen – Winning probability: 61.67% | Fair line: 1.62
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +1.0 FK Dziugas Telsiai
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Dziugas Telsiai and Hegelmann Litauen.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1296560 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Dziugas Telsiai?

πŸ”΅ FK Dziugas Telsiai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $351.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$499.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $584.20;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$185.80.

Is it worth betting on Hegelmann Litauen?

πŸ”΄ Hegelmann Litauen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $545.60
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$165.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +1.0 FK Dziugas Telsiai
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 FK Dziugas Telsiai, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FK Dziugas Telsiai.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: -0.5 Hegelmann Litauen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Dziugas Telsiai x Hegelmann Litauen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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