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Home » Predictions » Others » Montana x Botev Plovdiv II Betting tips for November 24 in Bulgaria Second League
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 12h30 Bulgaria Second League
Montana Montana
PREDICTION Montana wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Botev Plovdiv II Botev Plovdiv II
ODD: @1.21 Don't miss this prediction!

Montana x Botev Plovdiv II Betting tips for November 24 in Bulgaria Second League

Our betting tip for Montana x Botev Plovdiv II, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
12:30
Montana Montana
1.21
X
5.12
Botev Plovdiv II Botev Plovdiv II
10.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Montana x Botev Plovdiv II:

🔮 Montana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montana, you can win up to $605.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Montana x Botev Plovdiv II:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Montana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-39.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botev Plovdiv II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Montana scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Montana x Botev Plovdiv II?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Montana x Botev Plovdiv II:

Analysis from Montana x Botev Plovdiv II for the Bulgaria Second League – 24 of November

🏟️ Montana X Botev Plovdiv II – Bulgaria Second League
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 12:30
🔵 Montana – Winning probability: 95.66% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.77% | Fair line: 26.5
🔴 Botev Plovdiv II – Winning probability: 0.57% | Fair line: 176.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Montana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Montana and Botev Plovdiv II.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Montana x Botev Plovdiv II

Is it worth betting on Montana?

🔵 Montana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $201.60;
  • And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$161.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $164.80;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$795.20.

Is betting on Botev Plovdiv II worth it?

🔴 Botev Plovdiv II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $98.80;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$891.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Montana x Botev Plovdiv II

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Montana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montana x Botev Plovdiv II

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Montana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Montana.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montana x Botev Plovdiv II

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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