Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC Betting tips for October 27 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 22:00

Oaxaca 2.90

X 3.70

Tepatitlan FC 2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC

The main points for the tip for Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Oaxaca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tepatitlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Oaxaca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Oaxaca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Tepatitlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC:

Analysis from Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 27 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Oaxaca and Tepatitlan FC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1210026 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC

Is it worth betting on Oaxaca?

🔵 Oaxaca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $665.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$15.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $810.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$110.00.

Is betting on Tepatitlan FC worth it?

🔴 Tepatitlan FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $367.50;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$282.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Oaxaca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Oaxaca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Oaxaca.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oaxaca x Tepatitlan FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.