Quilmes x CA San Miguel Betting tips for October 27 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Quilmes x CA San Miguel, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 18:05

Quilmes 2.45

X 2.45

CA San Miguel 3.52

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Quilmes x CA San Miguel:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Quilmes x CA San Miguel

Some important points for the tip for Quilmes x CA San Miguel: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $335.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CA San Miguel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Quilmes did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 CA San Miguel matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CA San Miguel conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Quilmes is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Quilmes x CA San Miguel?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Quilmes x CA San Miguel:

Analysis from Quilmes x CA San Miguel for the Argentina Nacional B – 27 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Quilmes and CA San Miguel.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209557 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Quilmes x CA San Miguel

Is it a good idea to bet on Quilmes?

🔵 Quilmes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $478.50
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$191.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $565.50;
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$44.50.

Should you bet on CA San Miguel?

🔴 CA San Miguel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $730.80;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Quilmes x CA San Miguel

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Quilmes x CA San Miguel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Quilmes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Quilmes.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Quilmes x CA San Miguel

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.