San Ignacio x CD Derio Betting tips for April 5 in Spain Tercera Group 4
| 📅 5/4/2025 16:30 |
 San Ignacio1.93 |
X 3.34 |
CD Derio  3.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for San Ignacio x CD Derio:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1670.00!
|
The main points for the tip for San Ignacio x CD Derio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on San Ignacio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on San Ignacio x CD Derio?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from San Ignacio x CD Derio for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 5 of April
|
🏟️ San Ignacio X CD Derio – Spain Tercera Group 4 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for San Ignacio x CD Derio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1295985 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for San Ignacio x CD Derio
Is it a good idea to bet on San Ignacio?
🔵 San Ignacio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $437.10;
- And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$92.90.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $772.20
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$102.20.
Is it worth betting on CD Derio?
🔴 CD Derio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match San Ignacio x CD Derio
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 San Ignacio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Ignacio x CD Derio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 San Ignacio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 San Ignacio.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CD Derio.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Ignacio x CD Derio
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
