Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ Betting tips for April 9 in UEFA Conference League
| 📅 9/4/2026 19:00 |
Shakhtar Donetsk2.33 |
X 3.40 |
AZ ![]() 2.75 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ:
🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $1375.00!
Some important points for the tip for Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shakhtar Donetsk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Shakhtar Donetsk scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 AZ matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
Looking for another bookie to bet on Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ for the UEFA Conference League – 9 of April
🏟️ Shakhtar Donetsk X AZ – UEFA Conference League
📅 9 of April, 2026 – 19:00
🔵 Shakhtar Donetsk – Winning probability: 32.34% | Fair line: 3.09
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.05% | Fair line: 3.57
🔴 AZ – Winning probability: 39.61% | Fair line: 2.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Shakhtar Donetsk had a great Raised of 16.67%: the market opened with odds of @2.1 for Shakhtar Donetsk and now the odds are @2.45.
📊 With a variation of -4.41%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Draw and now the odds are @3.25.
📊 The odds for AZ had a great Decreased of -17.65%: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for AZ and now the odds are @2.8.
📊 The market decreased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.25 is now at 0.00 for Shakhtar Donetsk.
📊 The market expects less goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.75 and now is at 2.50 goals.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Shakhtar Donetsk and AZ.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1516896 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is it worth betting on Shakhtar Donetsk?
🔵 Shakhtar Donetsk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $425.60
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$254.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$48.00.
Is betting on AZ worth it?
🔴 AZ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $700.00
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$100.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Shakhtar Donetsk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Shakhtar Donetsk.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ
Who is the favourite: Shakhtar Donetsk or AZ?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is AZ, with a win probability of 39.61%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that AZ is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 39.61%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Shakhtar Donetsk beating AZ today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Shakhtar Donetsk would win about 32 of those against AZ.
What are the chances of AZ beating Shakhtar Donetsk today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate AZ would win about 40 of those versus Shakhtar Donetsk.
Which team should I bet on: Shakhtar Donetsk or AZ?
A successful bettor looks for positive expected value opportunities. Based on our analysis, we believe the best bet for this match is: AZ Wins, with a positive expected value of 11.11%. Bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: avoid staking more than 2% of your funds!
How much is Shakhtar Donetsk paying today? See what you can win by betting on Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ:
The odds for Shakhtar Donetsk to beat AZ today are around 2.33. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2330.00 if Shakhtar Donetsk wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is AZ paying today? See what you can win by betting on Shakhtar Donetsk x AZ:
The odds for AZ to beat Shakhtar Donetsk today are around 2.75. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2750.00 if AZ wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Shakhtar Donetsk