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Home » Predictions » XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20 Betting tips for January 7 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Tuesday, 07 January 2025, 19h45 Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
XV de Jau U20 XV de Jau U20
PREDICTION XV de Jau U20 wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Serra Branca U20 Serra Branca U20
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20 Betting tips for January 7 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20, Tuesday, 7/1/2025
📅 7/1/2025
19:45
XV de Jau U20 XV de Jau U20
1.44
X
4.00
Serra Branca U20 Serra Branca U20
6.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20:

🔮 XV de Jau U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on XV de Jau U20, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on XV de Jau U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Serra Branca U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
👉 Serra Branca U20 did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Serra Branca U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Serra Branca U20 as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 7 of January

🏟️ XV de Jau U20 X Serra Branca U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
📅 7 of January, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 XV de Jau U20 – Winning probability: 84.05% | Fair line: 1.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.19% | Fair line: 8.94
🔴 Serra Branca U20 – Winning probability: 4.76% | Fair line: 21.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 XV de Jau U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between XV de Jau U20 and Serra Branca U20.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243026 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20

Is it a good idea to bet on XV de Jau U20?

🔵 XV de Jau U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $369.60
  • And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $330.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Should you bet on Serra Branca U20?

🔴 Serra Branca U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $262.50;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$687.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 XV de Jau U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 XV de Jau U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 XV de Jau U20.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 XV de Jau U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for XV de Jau U20 x Serra Branca U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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