Arouca x AVS Betting tips for October 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Arouca x AVS, Saturday, 5/10/2024

📅 5/10/2024 14:00

Arouca 2.15

X 3.44

AVS 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arouca x AVS:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1720.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Arouca x AVS: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AVS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 In the last 3 AVS matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, AVS conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for AVS as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Arouca x AVS?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Arouca x AVS:

Analysis from Arouca x AVS for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arouca x AVS right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194677 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arouca x AVS

Should you bet on Arouca?

🔵 Arouca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $540.50;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $780.80
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.80.

Is betting on AVS worth it?

🔴 AVS: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $441.00
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$349.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arouca x AVS

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Arouca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arouca x AVS

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Arouca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Arouca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 AVS.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arouca x AVS

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.