Arouca x Benfica Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Arouca x Benfica, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 18:00

Arouca 10.86

X 6.00

Benfica 1.23

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arouca x Benfica:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $615.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Arouca x Benfica: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $123.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Arouca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Arouca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Benfica conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Arouca conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Benfica. 👉 Even as a visitor, Benfica won the last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca´s territory

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Arouca x Benfica?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Arouca x Benfica for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arouca and Benfica.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arouca x Benfica

Should you bet on Arouca?

🔵 Arouca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $100.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$880.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Benfica?

🔴 Benfica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $225.40
• And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$205.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arouca x Benfica

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.5 Arouca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arouca x Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.5 Arouca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 Arouca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Benfica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arouca x Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.