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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » Arouca x Famalicao Betting tips for April 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Saturday, 05 April 2025, 17h00 Portugal Primeira Liga
Arouca Arouca
PREDICTION Arouca wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Famalicao Famalicao
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Arouca x Famalicao Betting tips for April 5 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Arouca x Famalicao, Saturday, 5/4/2025
📅 5/4/2025
17:00
Arouca Arouca
2.40
X
3.20
Famalicao Famalicao
2.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Arouca x Famalicao:

🔮 Arouca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arouca, you can win up to $1200.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Arouca x Famalicao:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Famalicao scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Famalicao, Arouca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Arouca x Famalicao, with Arouca as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Arouca conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Arouca conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Famalicao.
👉 Arouca has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Famalicao.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Arouca x Famalicao?

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Analysis from Arouca x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 5 of April

🏟️ Arouca X Famalicao – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 5 of April, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Arouca – Winning probability: 48.93% | Fair line: 2.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.41% | Fair line: 3.79
🔴 Famalicao – Winning probability: 24.66% | Fair line: 4.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arouca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arouca and Famalicao.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1295985 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arouca x Famalicao

Is betting on Arouca worth it?

🔵 Arouca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $686.00;
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$176.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$168.00.

Is it worth betting on Famalicao?

🔴 Famalicao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $487.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$262.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Arouca x Famalicao

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arouca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arouca x Famalicao

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Arouca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Arouca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Arouca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arouca x Famalicao

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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