Arouca x Gil Vicente Betting tips for December 27 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 27/12/2024 20:15 |
 Arouca2.33 |
X 3.20 |
Gil Vicente  2.94 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Arouca x Gil Vicente:
🔮 Arouca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arouca, you can win up to $1165.00!
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The main points for the tip for Arouca x Gil Vicente: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. |
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Analysis from Arouca x Gil Vicente for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 27 of December
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🏟️ Arouca X Gil Vicente – Portugal Primeira Liga |
When the best bet on Arouca x Gil Vicente is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239984 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Arouca x Gil Vicente
Should you bet on Arouca?
🔵 Arouca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $864.50
- And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$514.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $330.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.
Should you bet on Gil Vicente?
🔴 Gil Vicente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $388.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$412.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Arouca x Gil Vicente
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Arouca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arouca x Gil Vicente
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Arouca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Arouca.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Arouca.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arouca x Gil Vicente
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
