Arouca x Santa Clara Betting tips for December 15 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Arouca x Santa Clara, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 15:30

Arouca 2.92

X 3.00

Santa Clara 2.52

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Arouca x Santa Clara:

🔮 Santa Clara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santa Clara, you can win up to $1260.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Arouca x Santa Clara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Clara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1200.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Santa Clara, Arouca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Santa Clara matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Arouca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Arouca as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Arouca x Santa Clara?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Arouca x Santa Clara:

Analysis from Arouca x Santa Clara for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 15 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arouca x Santa Clara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236762 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arouca x Santa Clara

Should you bet on Arouca?

🔵 Arouca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $384.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$416.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $560.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.00.

Should you bet on Santa Clara?

🔴 Santa Clara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 510 times – profiting $775.20;
• And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$285.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arouca x Santa Clara

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Arouca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arouca x Santa Clara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Arouca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Arouca.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arouca x Santa Clara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.