AVS x Benfica Betting tips for December 15 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 15/12/2024 18:00 |
 AVS15.00 |
X 7.75 |
Benfica  1.14 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for AVS x Benfica:
🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $570.00!
|
The main points for the tip for AVS x Benfica: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AVS in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AVS x Benfica?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from AVS x Benfica for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 15 of December
|
🏟️ AVS X Benfica – Portugal Primeira Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AVS x Benfica right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236762 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AVS x Benfica
Is betting on AVS worth it?
🔵 AVS: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 15.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Benfica?
🔴 Benfica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 1000 times – having a profit of $140.00;
- And would have lost other 0 times – with a loss of -$0.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match AVS x Benfica
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 AVS
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AVS x Benfica
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.25 AVS and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +2.25 AVS.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AVS x Benfica
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.
