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Home » Predictions » Portugal Primeira Liga » AVS x Famalicao Betting tips for November 3 in Portugal Primeira Liga
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 15h30 Portugal Primeira Liga
AVS AVS
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Famalicao Famalicao
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

AVS x Famalicao Betting tips for November 3 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for AVS x Famalicao, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
15:30
AVS AVS
3.10
X
3.00
Famalicao Famalicao
2.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AVS x Famalicao:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for AVS x Famalicao:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AVS in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-141.0.
👉 In the last 3 Famalicao matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Famalicao has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from AVS x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 3 of November

🏟️ AVS X Famalicao – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 AVS – Winning probability: 22.40% | Fair line: 4.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.89% | Fair line: 2.71
🔴 Famalicao – Winning probability: 40.71% | Fair line: 2.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AVS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AVS and Famalicao.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214487 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AVS x Famalicao

Is it a good idea to bet on AVS?

🔵 AVS: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $462.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$318.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $740.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$110.00.

Is betting on Famalicao worth it?

🔴 Famalicao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$16.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AVS x Famalicao

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AVS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AVS x Famalicao

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 AVS, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 AVS.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 AVS.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AVS x Famalicao

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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