Benfica x Arouca Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Benfica x Arouca, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 17:00

Benfica 1.20

X 6.52

Arouca 12.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Benfica x Arouca:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $600.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Benfica x Arouca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-9.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arouca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Arouca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Arouca, Benfica scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Benfica has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Arouca.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Benfica x Arouca?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Benfica x Arouca for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 13 of April

When the best bet on Benfica x Arouca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Benfica x Arouca

Is betting on Benfica worth it?

🔵 Benfica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 980 times – profiting $196.00;
• And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$176.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $110.40;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$869.60.

Is it worth betting on Arouca?

🔴 Arouca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 12.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica x Arouca

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica x Arouca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 Benfica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Benfica.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Benfica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica x Arouca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.